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North Carolina, Wayne

Flood Warning

Statement as of 8:15 PM EST on February 05, 2016

Expires 7:00 PM EST on February 10, 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River near Goldsboro.
* From Saturday afternoon to Wednesday evening, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon
and continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by Monday morning.The river
will fall below flood stage Wednesday.
* Impact... at 20.0 feet, Arrington bridge Road and access roads around
Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.

The following are the latest observations and 7 am forecast stages
for the next several days.

             Fld observed forecast 7 am
location stg stg day time Sat sun Mon Tue Wed

Neuse River
Goldsboro 18 15.7 Fri 07 PM 17.5 19.2 19.8 19.4 18.0

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        goldsboro: 42.95

Lat... Lon 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810

Public Information Statement

Statement as of 1:14 AM EST on February 06, 2016

... A couple of brief and weak tornadoes confirmed near Lexington and
Thomasville in Davidson County North Carolina...

Location... Lexington in Davidson County North Carolina
date... 02/03/2016
estimated time... 102 PM to 104 PM EST
maximum ef-scale rating... EF0
estimated maximum wind speed... 85 mph
maximum path width... 50 yards
first path length in Lexington... 1 mile
beginning lat/Lon... 35.7989/-80.3185
ending lat/Lon... 35.8031/-80.3009
* fatalities... 0
* injuries... 0

Location... Thomasville in Davidson County North Carolina
date... 02/03/2016
estimated time... 114 PM to 116 PM EST
maximum ef-scale rating... EF1
estimated maximum wind speed... 95 mph
maximum path width... 100 yards
second path length in Thomasville... 1.7 miles
beginning lat/Lon... 35.8451/-80.1522
ending lat/Lon... 35.8583/-80.1273
* fatalities... 0
* injuries... 0

* the information in this statement is the official... final
review of the event(s) for publication in NWS storm data.

... Summary...
after a more extensive review of the character and orientation of
damage... in conjunction with both eyewitness reports and
meteorological data that suggest probable occurrences of a
tornado... the National Weather Service in Raleigh NC has confirmed
a couple of brief tornado touchdowns along an otherwise
discontinuous 12-mile path of damaging straight-line wind... from
near Lexington to Thomasville in Davidson County North Carolina on
02/03/2016. It is important to note that straight line wind can be
just as strong... and sometimes even stronger... than that of a
tornado; and differentiating between the two is often times very
difficult in the case of weak tornadoes.

Numerous trees... both hardwoods and softwoods... were either
snapped or uprooted along the discontinuous damage path. Most of
the snapped hardwoods... including one whose trunk was around four
feet in diameter where the breakage occurred... had evidence of
inner rot at the Point of failure... while most of the snapped
softwoods appeared healthy. Some of the downed trees and large
branches fell onto and damaged homes or vehicles on the southwest
side of Thomasville... including a large Oak Tree that was uprooted
and crushed a Sedan in the 2800-2900 block of Upper Lake Road. The
degree of damage to the trees... taking into account their health
and a relatively wet ground... suggests wind speeds were skewed toward
the lower bound of the expected range... between 75 and 95 mph.

Otherwise... damage to homes was relatively minor in both
Lexington and Thomasville and was confined mostly to a loss of
shingles; gutters; and siding... with a few broken glass windows
and a couple of destroyed garage doors. There was continued minor
damage to multiple manufactured homes (single-wides) near the
intersection of tussey Road and State Road 1147. The expected wind speed
with the degree of damage to these structures is between 70 and
80 mph.

There were also approximately six to eight farm outbuildings that
were severely damaged or destroyed... including a few that
sustained collapsed walls and major loss of roof panels... mainly
near Upper Lake Road and Wayside drive. The expected wind speed
for this degree of damage is between 70 and 90 mph.

While the character of a significant amount of the damage was in
a slightly divergent pattern... consistent with straight-line
wind... there were small sections of the damage path that included
exclusively non-divergent damage (ie. Was turned slightly inward
or was completely straight)... which is consistent with the
occurrence of a weak tornado.

Lastly... there were a few eyewitness accounts that described a
funnel in The Upper Lake Road area... including one account that
included "swirling wind and debris"... which is also consistent
with the rotary wind of a tornado.

We would like to extend a special thanks to the emergency
management community in Davidson County... as the extent of the
survey would have not been possible without their guidance and

This information can also be found on our website at

For reference... the Enhanced Fujita scale classifies tornadoes
into the following categories:

EF0... wind speeds 65 to 85 mph.
EF1... wind speeds 86 to 110 mph.
EF2... wind speeds 111 to 135 mph.
EF3... wind speeds 136 to 165 mph.
EF4... wind speeds 166 to 200 mph.
EF5... wind speeds greater than 200 mph.

Weather Severe Map
Alabama - Flood Warning , Freeze Warning
Alaska - Wind Advisory , Special Statement
Arkansas - Flood Warning , Flood Advisory
California - High Surf Advisory , Wind Advisory , Beach Hazard Statement
Connecticut - Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Delaware - Special Statement
Florida - Flood Warning , Coastal Hazard Statement , Freeze Warning , Beach Hazard Statement , Record Report
Georgia - Flood Warning , Freeze Warning
Hawaii - Record Report
Idaho - Winter Weather Advisory , Air Quality Alert
Illinois - Flood Warning
Indiana - Flood Warning
Iowa - Blizzard Watch , Dense Fog Advisory
Kentucky - Flood Warning
Louisiana - Flood Warning
Maine - Record Report , Public Information Statement
Maryland - Special Statement
Massachusetts - Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Michigan - Flood Advisory
Minnesota - Blizzard Watch , Winter Storm Watch , Dense Fog Advisory
Mississippi - Flood Warning
Missouri - Flood Warning , Flood Advisory
Montana - High Wind Warning , High Wind Watch , Wind Advisory , Winter Weather Advisory
Nebraska - High Wind Watch
Nevada - Record Report
New Hampshire - Public Information Statement
New Jersey - Special Statement , Record Report
New York - Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
North Carolina - Flood Warning , Coastal Flood Watch , High Wind Watch , Special Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
North Dakota - High Wind Warning , Blizzard Warning , Blizzard Watch
Oregon - Wind Advisory
Pennsylvania - Special Statement
Puerto Rico - Coastal Hazard Statement
Rhode Island - Special Statement , Public Information Statement
South Carolina - Flood Warning , Flood Advisory , Lake Wind Advisory , Hydrologic Statement , Record Report
South Dakota - High Wind Watch , High Wind Warning , Blizzard Watch , Dense Fog Advisory , Special Statement
Tennessee - Flood Warning , Flood Advisory , Special Statement
Texas - Flood Warning , Fire Weather Warning , Fire Weather Watch , Special Statement
Vermont - Public Information Statement
Virgin Islands - Coastal Hazard Statement
Virginia - Flood Warning , Special Statement , Record Report
Washington - Areal Flood Watch , Winter Weather Advisory , Special Statement , Record Report
West Virginia - Record Report
Wyoming - High Wind Warning , High Wind Advisory , High Wind Watch

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