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California, Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area

Special Statement

Statement as of 3:47 AM PDT on October 01, 2014

Expires 6:15 PM EDT on October 01, 2014


... Hot... dry and breezy weather with elevated fire danger across
southwest California tonight through early next week...

An upper level ridge of high pressure will begin to build over the
West Coast today into Thursday... bringing a significant warming and
drying trend to southwest California through early next week. In
addition... weak to moderate offshore winds are expected to develop
over the Los Angeles and Ventura County mountains and valleys today
into Thursday... and persist through Friday.

Afternoon high temperatures will rise into the 80s to mid 90s
across the coast and valleys by Thursday... and to around 90 to
the lower 100s by Friday. The heat is expected to peak on Saturday
with valley highs ranging between 100 to 106 degrees. Overnight lows
are expected to remain rather warm... in the lower to mid 70s across
the elevated wind prone valleys and Lower Mountain elevations.
Offshore winds are expected to peak Thursday morning across Los
Angeles and Ventura counties with northeast gusts up to 35 mph in
the valleys and up to 45 mph in the mountains... locally to 50 mph
across the Santa Monica Mountains above Point Mugu. A drying air
mass is expected across all of southwest California with relative
humidities falling into the lower teens by Thursday and into the
single digits for locations away from the coast Friday through
Sunday.

The combination of rising temperatures... low humidity and offshore
winds in combination with critically dry vegetation will bring
elevated fire danger to much of southwest California late Wednesday
through this weekend... and possibly into early next week. The
highest fire danger is expected to be across the Los Angeles and
Ventura County mountains and valleys where the strongest northeast
winds are likely to occur. (See laxrfwlox for details).


Kaplan/Smith/rat


301 PM PDT Tue Sep 30 2014

... Hot... dry and breezy weather with elevated fire danger across
southwest California late Wednesday through early next week...

An upper level ridge of high pressure will begin to build over the
West Coast on Wednesday... bringing a significant warming and
drying trend to southwest California through early next week. In
addition... weak to moderate offshore winds are expected to
develop over the Los Angeles and Ventura County mountains and
valleys Wednesday into Thursday... and persist through Friday.

Afternoon high temperatures will rise into the 80s to mid 90s
across the coast and valleys by Thursday... and to around 90 to
the lower 100s by Friday. The heat is expected to peak on Saturday
with valley highs around 105 degrees. Overnight lows are expected
to remain rather warm... in the mid to upper 60s across the
valleys. Offshore winds are expected to peak Thursday morning
across Los Angeles and Ventura counties with northeast gusts up
to 35 mph in the valleys and up to 45 mph in the mountains. A
drying air mass is expected across all of southwest California
with relative humidities falling into the lower teens by Thursday
and into the single digits for locations away from the coast
Friday through Sunday.

The combination of rising temperatures... low humidity and
offshore winds in combination with critically dry
vegetation will bring elevated fire danger to much of southwest
California late Wednesday through early next week. The highest
fire danger is expected to be across the Los Angeles and Ventura
County mountains and valleys where the strongest northeast winds
are likely to occur. (See laxrfwlox for details).



Fire Weather Warning, Fire Weather Watch

Statement as of 10:09 AM PDT on October 01, 2014

Expires 10:00 PM EDT on October 03, 2014


... Red flag warning in effect from midnight tonight through 6 PM
PDT Thursday over the Los Angeles and Ventura County mountains for
gusty offshore winds and very low relative humidity...

... Fire Weather Watch now effect from Thursday night through
Friday afternoon over the Los Angeles and Ventura County mountains
for gusty offshore winds and very low relative humidity...

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a
red flag warning for gusty offshore winds and very low relative
humidity... which is in effect from midnight tonight to 6 PM PDT
Thursday.

* Winds... areas of northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 45
mph are expected tonight through Thursday. Northeast winds 10 to
20 mph with gusts to 30 mph are possible Thursday night through
Friday.

* Relative humidity... daily minimum humidities between 4 and 10
percent are expected Thursday through at least Friday... with
very poor overnight recoveries between 10 and 20 percent. Driest
on Friday.

* Temperatures... daily maximum temperatures in mid 70s to mid 80s
on Thursday... rising to the mid 80s to mid 90s on Friday.

* Impacts... with extremely dry fuels in place... if fire ignition
occurs there could be rapid spread of wildfire that would lead
to a threat to life and property.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Please advise the appropriate officials or
fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch. Listen for
later forecasts and possible red flag warnings.

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now... or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds... low relative humidity... and warm temperatures will
create extreme fire behavior. Please advise the appropriate
officials or fire crews in the field of this red flag warning.






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